JOHANNESBURG, Gauteng – Following the directive issued by South Africa’s president Cyril Ramaphosa South Africa entered a 21-day national lockdown from midnight on March 26 2020 – but has everybody heeded his clarion call?
Traffic data from Tracker shows yes – and,, really, no… Here;s how well the roads lockdown is (or isn’t) working thanks to an assessment of before-and-after tracking data.
Analytics from Lightstone indicate that most South Africans are doing their bit to “flatten the curve”. Nationally, South African vehicle activity had (April 2 2020) already dropped in some regions by 20%, relative to the corresponding day in early March.
Vehicle activity has subsequently plummeted by 75%.
”The significant decline in vehicle movement during the first three days of confinement,” Tracker reported, ”followed a slight increase in passenger vehicle activity in the two days prior.
”This increase in vehicle movement was likely due to citizens shopping in preparation for being confined to their homes – many having been paid on March 25, as observed by the reports of lengthy queues and sold-out stores.”
Some provinces did more than others in cutting movement. Gauteng and the Western Cape had the best compliance: passenger vehicle activity reducing by between 75-80% during the first two days of lockdown.
The highest compliance from taxis and buses was recorded in kwaZulu-Natal – 76% – while the highest reduction in the movement of commercial vehicles was in Gauteng at 73%.
”Drilling down to a town level in the two most compliant provinces (Sandton in Gauteng and Durbanville, Franschhoek and Noordhoek in the Western Cape),” Tracker told The Corner, ”show a greater than 90% reduction in vehicle movement.
”Conversely, the least stay-at-home compliance was in Khayelitsha and Guguletu in the Western Cape – a reduction in vehicle activity of less than 50%. Suburbs such as Blue Downs in the Western Cape and Soweto and Katlehong in Gauteng reduced their vehicle activity by between 60% and 70%.”
WATCH OUT FOR CABIN FEVER – BUT STILL COMPLY!
Michael du Preez, a marketing manager with Tracker SA, praised the overall compliance: “It is great to see that most people in South AFricas are observing the stay-at-home regulations with high-density areas such as Gauteng and the Western Cape reducing their vehicle movement by 75-80%.
“We encourage people, as cabin fever starts to set in, to continue to restrict your movements. Only go out when necessary – for your own and others’safety.”
- Linda Reid, head of data with Lightstone, wrapped up: “It is important to note that not all areas will be able to curtail movement to the same extent as others. Some are more likely to have, thanks to their greater populations, are still travelling as essential services workers.”